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Happy the man,n happy he alone, He, who can call to-day his own: He who can say "To-morrow, do thy worst, for I have liv'd to-day."

Friday, December 15, 2023

A Cautionary Tale of Market Whims: My Trade with SBI

In the riveting world of trading, we often find ourselves at the mercy of market trends, sometimes sailing with the winds, sometimes against. This week's adventure into the domain of stock trading serves as a stark reminder of the unpredictable nature of the markets. My journey with the State Bank of India (SBI) shares is a tale of expectations turned awry.
With meticulous analysis, I entered a short position on SBI, firmly believing that the stock would retreat to the levels of 570-580. The market, however, had a different narrative in store. When SBI shares touched 620, intuition nudged me to square off, yet I held on, convinced by the overbought signals that a downturn was imminent. This decision led me down a path where every tick of the clock was a step toward an unfavorable outcome.

The shares soared past the 645-650 mark, and I found myself staring into the abyss of substantial losses. In stark contrast stood my hedges, which, while profitable, seemed minuscule against the backdrop of my losses. There remains a flicker of hope for a market reversal on Monday, akin to a previous Euro short position that eventually turned favorable. Yet, the sting of disappointment lingers, a reminder of the importance of stringent risk management and the painful lesson of not adhering to my own stop-loss strategies.
As I share this account, it's not just a recount of a trade gone sour, but a reflection on the importance of discipline and the ever-present need to evolve our strategies in the face of market adversity. This experience, though bitter, is an invaluable addition to my trading journey, a chapter that will inform and shape my future decisions in the relentless financial markets.

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